If Trump wins, will China invade Taiwan?
Plus
43
แน20442026
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Trump wins the US 2024 election, will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? For the purpose of this market, an invasion is defined as any military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.
This market resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 election or if China invades Taiwan before the 2024 election.
Biden market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/if-biden-wins-will-china-invade-tai
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2024?
3% chance
If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?
60% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
34% chance
If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?
49% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before the end of Ukraine-Russian war?
25% chance
When will China invade Taiwan
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
29% chance
Will Donald Trump win 2024? x Will China Invade Taiwan before 2030?
Will China invade Taiwan during the term of the next POTUS?
If Trump wins, will China attack Taiwan before the end of 2026?
20% chance