If Trump wins, will China invade Taiwan?
➕
Plus
43
Ṁ2044
2026
21%
chance

If Trump wins the US 2024 election, will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? For the purpose of this market, an invasion is defined as any military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.

This market resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 election or if China invades Taiwan before the 2024 election.

Biden market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/if-biden-wins-will-china-invade-tai

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