Who will be promoted to Masters from the Turbo Hedgehogs Diamond league?
Standard
43
Ṁ60k
resolved Aug 2
25%25%
@BenjaminShindel
25%24%
@SimonGrayson
25%24%
@TravisBaker (Travis)
25%24%
@Nick (nickten)
0.1%
@MrT
0.2%
@Tripping
0.1%
@Fedor
0.1%
@NicoDelon (Nico D)
0.2%
@JoshuaWilkes (Josh Wilkes)
0.1%
@kottsiek
0.1%
@asmith (Andrew Smith)
0.1%
@Bdog (Benji)
0.1%
@JakeEatonc5e2 (Jake)
0.1%
@lisamarsh
0.1%
@BoltonBailey
0.1%
@Svenbonne
0.1%
@TenShino
0.1%
@ItzNetwork
0.1%
@ChrisCanas (Sextc~.iXi.)
0.1%
@Darj

Season three of the Manifold leagues has kicked off and 21 of us are in the Turbo Hedgehogs league:

https://manifold.markets/leagues/3/diamond/turbo-hedgehogs

The crazy whales and league manipulators seem to be battling it out in the Masters league, but I can already see a few familiar faces and good predictors in our Diamond league so the bar for promotion could be as high as 10,000...

Who will make it? The runners and riders are:

@SimonGrayson @TravisBaker (Travis) @nickten (Note: this is nickten rather than Nick. I can't edit the options in the poll now!) @MrT @Tripping @Fedor @NicoDelon (Nico D) @JoshuaWilkes (Josh Wilkes) @kottsiek @asmith (Andrew Smith) @Bdog (Benji) @JakeEatonc5e2 (Jake) @lisamarsh @BoltonBailey @Svenbonne @TenShino @ItzNetwork @BenjaminShindel @ChrisCanas (Sextc~.iXi.) @Darj @SirCryptomind

Unlike previous seasons, only four of us will be promoted rather than five so this market will be resolved as a four way 25% tie between the top four in the league.

Also, feel free to use the comments section for discussion, sledging and general league chat since there's no other way of talking with people in your league!

#Manifold Leagues
#Unranked
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Ṁ1,000
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A late curveball as the room temperature superconductor market looks like it can really shake up 4th spot... It's pretty volatile, but there probably isn't enough riding on it to hit the top of the table quite as much. But we'll have to wait and see!

I've put up a couple of markets on how long it will take for the season to freeze and finish:

They didn't believe in me. They'll never make that mistake again. From last place to fourth in 24 hours.

@BenjaminShindel Would you have still made it without the surge in volatility from LK99? I Lost 100 mana now…

@BenjaminShindel making moves, I hear

It's beautiful.

@ShadowyZephyr you're welcome!

Edit: Some people changed their usernames...

@TravisBaker -> @travis
@JakeEatonc5e2 -> @JCE

Balances and profits (cached) for this league (from the API):
https://github.com/JRPdata/wastebook/blob/main/who-will-be-promoted-to-masters-fro

cryptomind? what the hell happened dude

@pain yeah, he deleted his account?

@JoshuaWilkes

/Jackzilla/will-barbies-achieve-90-or-higher-o

/Haws/will-sircryptominds-account-be-unde

i somehow ended up with a Yes bet on all you cutiepies ~~

so i hope you all get promoted ❤

1/3 thru and you guys are betting like it's clear who the winners are

remember that it only resolves to 25% max

@lisamarsh and @Tripping are gonna pull through at the end just you watch

I think we might be in the most difficult league to promote from...

I've opened a market here on which is going to turn out to be the most difficult league!

gl my fellow hedgehogs. o7

i wish i got the @Nick but unfortunately it's @nickten 😭 😭 😭

@nickten Damn it!

I can’t edit the options in the poll, but hopefully it will still be clear to anyone betting…

Good luck, people!

kottsiekboughtṀ200@kottsiek NO

@kottsiek Not feeling very confident?

@SimonGrayson No trader income and there is a decent chance I lose my streak. I have exams this month as well

@kottsiek Also might be optimal to tank in diamond -> demote to plat -> get easy platinum rewards

I think you mean Diamond League.

@asmith Whoops!

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