Will the UK's CPI inflation figure published on 18th October be below 6%?
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resolved Oct 18
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NO

The UK's Office for National Statistics will publish the latest inflation figures at 7:00 UK time on Wednesday 18th October.

This includes the annual CPI number for the past 12 months.

Here are the last few readings (based on the month when the figures were released):

January 2023 - 10.5%

February 2023 - 10.1%

March 2023 - 10.4%

April 2023 - 10.1%

May 2023 - 8.7%

June 2023 - 8.7%

July 2023 - 7.9%

August 2023 - 6.8%

September 2023 - 6.7%

October 2023 - TBC

(The market will resolve to NO if the figure is exactly 6.0%)

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A reading of 6.7% as confirmed by the Guardian and the BBC:

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/oct/18/uk-inflation-fuel-prices-september-2023

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/business-67137477

So this resolves to NO.

Next month's markets as well as markets on the UK's monthly GDP and interest rate decisions are here:

https://manifold.markets/browse?topic=uk-economic-data&t=

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