What kind of cars will be most sold in 2035?
Plus
43
Ṁ29952036
7%
Normal combustion engine cars
78%
Normal EVs
39%
Self-driving EVs (only non-flying)
2%
Flying cars
This market resolves based on the number of car sales globally in 2035.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@Abraxas good point. In order to qualify as self driving cars, it requires that the car is actually self driving (not just that it has the possibilty to enable the feature in the future). Both licenses that are bought or rented qualify. (In the case of rented licences, we'd calculate an average of the licenses throughout the year). Does it make sense?
@snazzlePop if the car is flying, it counts as flying car, regardless of their engine or whether they self drive.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
65% chance
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
69% chance
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
53% chance
Who will be the top-selling car manufacturer in 2030? (number of cars)
Which will be the 3 main car sellers in the world by 2030?
Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
59% chance
Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
55% chance
Will the sale of new gas cars be illegal in California in 2035?
48% chance
Which of these new vehicle types will Tesla produce by 2034?
Will cars still be a dominant form of personal transportation in 2050?
60% chance