When will EVs become cheaper to produce than ICE?
Basic
6
Ṁ922029
9%
2024-25
12%
2026
14%
2027
34%
2028
31%
2029 or later
Resolution based on Gartner's industry report
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Way under specified. The year will vary a lot by manufacturer and which category of vehicle. If you're averaging across those things, then how? Weighted by revenue? Sales volume?
Some publication is going to want to be first to proclaim cost equivalence (because clicks). How do you decide whether it's a credible claim and that it applies broadly (enough) to resolve this market?
@DanHomerick I've updated the description with the name of a specific consulting company that we'll use to assess the resolution
Related questions
Related questions
Will EV batteries cost less than 1000 USD in 2030?
18% chance
How much cheaper to use will o3-equivalent or better models get before 2026?
Will someone sell a non-lithium EV before 2025?
37% chance
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
65% chance
🚘 When will EV sales exceed those of vehicles with internal combustion engines?
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
69% chance
Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
55% chance
How many EVs will be sold in the US in 2024?
Will pure electric vehicles be viable in cold weather by December 31st, 2024?
76% chance
By 2030, will an electric car be the most economical car you can buy in the US?
76% chance