Will the next U.S. President sign an Executive Order related to AI within their First 100 Days?
Plus
50
Ṁ25472025
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the next U.S. President (2024-2028) signs an Executive Act pertaining specifically to Artificial Intelligence (AI) within their first 100 days in office.
If the inauguration takes place as scheduled on January 20, 2025, then the 100th day of the new administration would fall on April 30, 2025.
Related to markets on election outcome.
Resources:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
61% chance
Will Trump's first year of presidency be positive for AI safety?
26% chance
Will Donald Trump directly endorse some form of AI regulation in a public statement between now and inauguration day?
62% chance
Will the 2025 presidential Inaugural Address in the United States include any of these exact phrases related to AI?
59% chance
If Trump wins, who will be the White House’s important AI policy officials in 2025?
Will the U.S. Congress pass, by January 10, 2025, a major bill which regulates AI?
14% chance
Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
18% chance
Will the U.S. create a new federal agency to regulate AI by the end of 2024?
13% chance
If Biden is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
25% chance
If Trump is elected, will the shutdown of the US AI Safety Institute be announced in 2025?
38% chance