Sam announced on Twitter that Mira Murati, the CTO of OpenAI, “just informed him this morning that she was leaving.” I wonder what is her motivation for doing so. This Market resolves at the end of the year based on my judgment of all available information. Each option resolves either yes or no. I will do my best not to n/a anything. As always, I will allow participants to present their arguments and engage as much as possible.

I won’t bet on this market.