As most of you already know openai released a new model called o1 capable of reasoning. In OpenAI's words the model can:
spend more time thinking before they respond. They can reason through complex tasks and solve harder problems than previous models in science, coding, and math.
I wonder if any of the big labs is already working on something that gets released this year. Even if it’s invite-only, we need to see evidence that the model exists and that someone outside the big lab’s network of family and friends has access to it. The model should be able to reason for different timeframes based on the complexity of a problem before coming up with a response.
/Soli/will-a-finetuned-opensource-model-u
Google has released such a model, available in Google AI Studio and the Gemini API. Should resolve YES. https://x.com/officiallogank/status/1869789820308074837?s=46
@jim i already have this:
/Soli/will-anthropic-release-a-model-that
annd this
/Soli/will-a-finetuned-opensource-model-u
but maybe a consolidated market also makes sense so here it is: https://manifold.markets/Soli/which-of-these-companies-will-relea
@Soli Thanks. It's a question I'm interested in. Researching it will hopefully give me a clearer picture of what's going on in these labs.
Google's apparently been working on this for months now
@HenriThunberg i will take my time collecting and examining the evidence but if one of the companies makes an official announcement that they started rolling out the model and some users on twitter or anywhere provide some screenshots/videos that I deem credible that would suffice yes.. i will allow participants of this market some time to dismiss the evidence or convince me that it is not credible.
@zsig it should be the big lab’s network of family and friends haha - i duplicated another question of mine and forgot to edit this part