Will the Sino-Indian border dispute cause conflict before 2025?
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Resolves YES if there is verified reports of skirmishes or conflict between Chinese and Indian forces within or due to contested territory. Any confrontation which involves at least 1 casualty will be counted. Weapons or explosives discharged in a threatening manner (e.g. gun fired over head) will also count as conflict.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sino-Indian_border_dispute#:~:text=The%20Sino%2DIndian%20border%20dispute,territory%20between%20China%20and%20India.

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