Will the first person to land on Mars ever return to Earth? | Manifold

Will the first person to land on Mars ever return to Earth?

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41

Ṁ1695

2095

70%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I often wonder this.

The first person is the "Neil Armstrong" of Mars: the one who steps onto the planet first, is feted as the "first" etc.

Resolves when they die or return to Earth.

Close date updated to 2095-02-10 12:00 am

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If they die on reentry to Earth, this would resolve No, right? I'm assuming they need to "set foot" on Earth after having set foot on Mars? If they die in a hospital later from complications, this would resolve Yes?

Deadline is too soon - doesn't it take at least a year to get there?

@StrayClimb I hadn't noticed, thanks. Now set for 2095

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