What names will the next Pope take?

109

5.1kṀ24k

Jul 1

26%

Other

10%

Francis

10%

John

Gregory

Paul

Leo

Benedict

Pius

Constantine

1.4%

Julius

1.4%

Innocent

1.3%

Theodore

1.2%

Celestine

1.1%

Urban

1.1%

Clement

This market will resolve to all names - split evenly - that the next Pope takes. If the pope takes one listed name, that name will be YES; if there are two names, whether listed or not, each will resolve to 50%; if there are three, then 33%, and so on. A name not listed in the market will be considered as part of "Other," so "Other" can resolve to 100%, some intermediate percentage, or NO.

If the name taken only differs in spelling, the closest name listed in the market will be resolved.

Add your own answers! All answers must be a single word. Any answer that a user adds that is more than one word will resolve to NO. If a user adds a misspelling or alternate form of an existing answer, the last answer added will resolve to NO.

If there is no new pope by July 1, 2025 at midnight EDT, all answers will resolve to N/A.

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13 Comments

106 Holders

607 Trades

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This is probably a nit-pick question but how far does "differs only in spelling" go? Is there a Jaro-Winkler distance threshold above which the names are considered different and will resolve to "other"? 😭

bought Ṁ25 NO

this man really said galacticus lmao i cant

sold Ṁ20 YES

Something is broken. I have a load ob Other, but haven't gotten a stake with the new additions

sold Ṁ22 YES

@JussiVilleHeiskanen are you sure? Trying looking on desktop rather than mobile

@JussiVilleHeiskanen from the holders tab, it looks like you have shares on several of the recent additions

@JussiVilleHeiskanen disregard the above. Just had to pop out and pop in for proper refresh

@bens yep never mind just a refresh issue

@strutheo resolves to NO

@JoshuaWilkes I will allow this to possibly resolve to YES. It's in the spirit of the rules, as it just clarifies a misspelling.

@SteveSokolowski I think this is a small mistake

I don’t understand the point of these rules. Two of the popes in this last century were named “John Paul”. It should be one of the highest options. Why make a market specifically precluding people from betting on this possibility?