The gathering of the College of Cardinals in Vatican City to elect a new Pope typically occurs within weeks of the death or resignation of the previous Pope. Pope Francis has passed away on April 21, 2025.
This market will resolve to the day of the Conclave in which the new Pope will be announced to the world ('Habemus Papam').
Day 0 of the conclave is defined as the calendar day on which the cardinals enter the Sistine Chapel to begin the election process. The exact date and time of entry will be determined by the College of Cardinals. If the formal announcement ('Habemus Papam') occurs on this same day, it is considered Day 0.
Rome's timezone will be used.
Who will be the next Pope market:
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@itsTomekK why did you go with the "Day 0" convention? Is this typical? It looks from prior conclaves like voting actually commences on Day 0? Just clarifying, how would the Papal Conclave in 2013 have resolved? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_papal_conclave#Fifth_ballot ...
to "Day 1" correct?
@bens potentially to make this less confusing, you might want to rename:
Day 0 --> Day 1, Day 1 --> Day 2, etc? up to you though, because the zero-indexing is a little confusing
@bens I don't know what is typical here, but I had to describe it somehow clearly. Especially since we're counting calendar days (and the conclave might start in the evening) and finishing with "Habemus Papam" announcement (not the actual election, which might take place few hours earlier) I've decided to mark the first day as "Day 0".
I shouldn't rename it at this point, let's go with it! Sorry for the confusion, for some it makes it clearer.