Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 1/1/2025 be higher than the 2 year treasury yield (non-inverted yield curve)?
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12
Ṁ8049
Jan 1
99.4%
chance

Currently the treasury yield curve is inverted, meaning short term interest rates are higher than long term, which is not normal.

This question explores if that will be the case going forward.

Using the closing price on Jan 1st, 2025 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y

If the 10 year yield is higher than the 2 year yield, this market resolves as YES

Otherwise it resolves to NO

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https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/04/bond-market-yield-curve-returns-to-normal-from-inverted-state-that-had-raised-recession-fears.html?__source=androidappshare

Must remain until end of year

bought Ṁ50 YES

Getting dang close!

bought Ṁ50 YES

Seems cheap 👀

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