In which state will there be the smallest margin of victory in the 2024 US presidential election?
Basic
41
แน8.1kDec 31
1D
1W
1M
ALL
18%
Another state
17%
Georgia
15%
Pennsylvania
15%
Arizona
11%
Nevada
10%
North Carolina
10%
Wisconsin
2%
Michigan
1%
Texas
1%
Florida
In other words: Which state will have the closest race.
This market will resolve YES to the state with the lowest margin between top 2 candidates for President, and NO to all the other states.
The lowest margin will be decided percentagewise.
Example:
State A voted 49.7% for party X and 50.3% for party Y. The margin is 0.6%
State B voted 50.5% for party X and 49.5% for party Y. The margin is 1%
State A resolves YES and State B resolves No, regardless of the absolute vote count.
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