In which state will there be the smallest margin of victory in the 2024 US presidential election?
Plus
50
แน12kDec 31
23%
Michigan
18%
Another state
15%
Georgia
15%
Pennsylvania
11%
Wisconsin
9%
Nevada
5%
Arizona
1.4%
North Carolina
1%
Texas
0.4%
Florida
In other words: Which state will have the closest race.
This market will resolve YES to the state with the lowest margin between top 2 candidates for President, and NO to all the other states.
The lowest margin will be decided percentagewise.
Example:
State A voted 49.7% for party X and 50.3% for party Y. The margin is 0.6%
State B voted 50.5% for party X and 49.5% for party Y. The margin is 1%
State A resolves YES and State B resolves No, regardless of the absolute vote count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Which states will be decided by less than 10 points in 2024?
What will be the margin of victory be in New Hampshire in the 2024 Presidential election?
What will be the margin of victory be in Arizona in the 2024 Presidential election?
Which states will be decided by less than 5 points in 2024?
What will the margin of victory (in votes) be in the state where the top two candidates are the closest?
Which state will be the tipping point in the 2024 US presidential election?
What will be the margin of victory be in Pennsylvania in the 2024 Presidential election?
What will be the margin of victory be in Nevada in the 2024 Presidential election?
What will be the margin of victory be in Michigan in the 2024 Presidential election?
Will the margin of victory in the 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia be 1 point or less?
6% chance