What will the highest elo of an open-source model on chatbot arena be at the end of 2024?
Premium
27
Ṁ11kDec 31
1,344
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according the the LMSys leaderboard.
If the elo is above 1700, resolves at 1700; if below 1200, resolves at 1200.
As of the time of writing (May 24th), the highest elo is GPT-4o-2024-05-13 (at 1287), and the highest open-source elo is Llama-3-70b-Instruct (at 1203).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Highest Chatbot Arena Elo rating of an open-source model during 2024
Will there be a model with a 69%+ Chatbot Arena win rate against gpt-o1 before June 1st, 2025?
63% chance
Which companies will outrank OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? ( >= week)
Will California SB 1047 pass? | What will the highest Chatbot Arena elo of an open source model be at the start of 2025?
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at any point in 2024? (resolves based on ELO rating)
7% chance
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2025? ( >= week)
Until what date will an OpenAI model hold the top position in the Chatbot Arena?
Which companies will outrank or tie with OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
15% chance