Which companies will outrank OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
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42
Ṁ16kDec 31
1D
1W
1M
ALL
14%
Anthropic
4%
Mistral
6%
Other
Resolved
YESGoogle
For any company to resolve yes, they must rank higher than OpenAI’s best ranking model on the leaderboards. A tie doesn’t count. If Anthropic and OpenAI rank #1 but Anthropic has a higher ELO this wouldn’t suffice to resolve the question Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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