Will Manifold have numeric markets that work in the same way creatable through the standard web UI at the end of July?
Basic
4
Ṁ1101resolved Aug 1
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@ian I like them! They just work, and they seem to work great, easy to understand what outcome I'm buying YES on, and they give the entire distribution which is really cool.
The one thing I find myself missing is resolving below or above the bounds of the market, though it does seem it would be hard to get that to play nice with displaying the expected value.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?
63% chance
Will Manifold add a new market type, after numeric, before the end of 2024?
64% chance
What kinds of markets/posts will be available on Manifold on 2025-01-01?
Will Manifold add a way for creators to initialize binary markets at non-50% probabilities in the UI? (by July 2025)
58% chance
Will Manifold add dedicated conditional markets in 2024?
20% chance
Will Manifold natively support the new numeric markets for dates before EOY 2024?
12% chance
Will Manifold support additional display formats (e.g. dates or durations) for numeric markets before the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will Manifold allow you to combine markets by the end of 2024?
8% chance