https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
Criteria in progress but will not delineate from this: My bet is that, if someone used text-to-PDF or some kind of LLM reasoning (including any advancements in that time period within text-to-PDF and LLM reasoning) on the pre-print and companion paper before 2025, as the timeline of the market states, or any other information from LK-99 as a dataset to try and aid research directly or indirectly in replication using those techniques, it would push it to YES definitively.
https://manifold.markets/ThePhilosopher/will-texttopdf-techniques-or-llm-mo?r=VGhlUGhpbG9zb3BoZXI For those interested in sub-markets along the lines of text-to-PDF and LLM reasoning potentials.
@TheAllMemeingEye My bet is that, if someone used text-to-PDF or some kind of LLM reasoning (including any advancements in that time period within text-to-PDF and LLM reasoning) on the pre-print and companion paper before 2025, as the timeline of the market states, or any other information as a dataset to try and aid research directly or indirectly in replication using those techniques, it would push it to YES definitively.