If Trump wins, will at least 20 NATO members reach the 2% target for defense spending in 2025? | Manifold

If Trump wins, will at least 20 NATO members reach the 2% target for defense spending in 2025?

Basic

8

Ṁ157

2026

44%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Submission for Make Biden/Trump conditional markets for up to 5000 Mana, and get featured on the Manifold Politics Page! | Manifold.

Paired conditional market here: If Biden wins, will at least 20 NATO members reach the 2% target for defense spending in 2025? | Manifold

Currently, 11/30 NATO members spend at least 2% of their GDP on defense: Which Countries Meet NATO’s 2% Spending Target? (visualcapitalist.com ).

Trump has threatened not to defend allies who do not meet the 2% target: Trump says he'd 'encourage' Russia 'to do whatever the hell they want' if a NATO country didn't spend enough on defense - ABC News (go.com ).

More information about the 2% target and past spending stats are available from NATO here: NATO - Topic: Defence expenditures and NATO’s 2% guideline.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will 18 or more countries in NATO spend 2% of their GDP on defense in 2024?

Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?

Will NATO approve $100B to Ukraine by the end of 2024?

Will penalties for NATO countries not meeting the 2% of GDP spending target be put in place before the end of 2028?

If Trump gets elected, will the U.S. leave the NATO?

Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?

Which countries will be members of NATO at the end of 2026?

Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?

Will Trump withdraw from NATO in 2025?

Will any NATO country go to war by 2025?

Related questions

Will 18 or more countries in NATO spend 2% of their GDP on defense in 2024?

Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?

Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?

Which countries will be members of NATO at the end of 2026?

Will NATO approve $100B to Ukraine by the end of 2024?

Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?

Will penalties for NATO countries not meeting the 2% of GDP spending target be put in place before the end of 2028?

Will Trump withdraw from NATO in 2025?

If Trump gets elected, will the U.S. leave the NATO?

Will any NATO country go to war by 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules