Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Minnesota?
Mini
7
แน€166
Nov 11
60%
chance

If the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election also wins the state and receives its Electoral College votes in that election, this market will resolve YES. Otherwise NO.

Faithless electors will not be taken into account.

#๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics
#๏ธ Politics
#๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential Election
#2024 Election Bellwethers
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bought แน€15 NO

Significantly overvalued, Trump winning MN is a fringe scenario (especially with Walz as VP), so this is effectively just a market for whether Harris will win the presidency.

I believe there's ~10% of Trump winning MN in Nate Silver's model, and our market on it is ~6%. So this market should still be a bit higher than Harris's chances.

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