Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Minnesota? | Manifold

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Minnesota?

Basic

12

Ṁ1519

resolved Nov 7

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election also wins the state and receives its Electoral College votes in that election, this market will resolve YES. Otherwise NO.

Faithless electors will not be taken into account.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#2024 Election Bellwethers

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ15 NO

Significantly overvalued, Trump winning MN is a fringe scenario (especially with Walz as VP), so this is effectively just a market for whether Harris will win the presidency.

I believe there's ~10% of Trump winning MN in Nate Silver's model, and our market on it is ~6%. So this market should still be a bit higher than Harris's chances.

Related questions

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Michigan?

+19% 1d99% chance

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Colorado?

-44% 1d1% chance

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Ohio?

+48% 1d99% chance

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Maine?

-52% 1d2% chance

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Texas?

+48% 1d99% chance

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Iowa?

+37% 1d99% chance

Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Minnesota?

+5% 1d99% chance

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of New Mexico?

-64% 1d2% chance

Will the candidate who wins Michigan win the 2024 POTUS election?

+18% 1d99% chance

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Florida?

+38% 1d99% chance

Related questions

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Michigan?

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Iowa?

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Colorado?

Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Minnesota?

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Ohio?

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of New Mexico?

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Maine?

Will the candidate who wins Michigan win the 2024 POTUS election?

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Texas?

Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Florida?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules