Was any of the major LA wildfires laid by arson and if yes, by whom?
5
100Ṁ210Jun 30
82%
Not arson
6%
Unaffiliated individual(s)
3%
Religiously motivated terrorism
3%
Eco-terrorism
5%
If arson is confirmed as the cause of any recent major LA fires, this market resolves based on the type of perpetrator(s) identified by law enforcement. Otherwise resolves "Not arson".
(Add your own options!)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
🔥 Will More Than 1,000,000 Acres Burn During The 2025 California Wildfire Season?
67% chance
Will large media outlets report arson as a significant contributor to the current swath of LA fires?
3% chance
Los Angeles Fires - Coordinated Arson?
3% chance
At least one recent major fire in Los Angeles determined to be arson by April 30, 2025
68% chance
How many deaths will the LA times report have resulted from the Los Angeles area fires that began January 7th 2025?
🔥Will More Than 1,327,999 Acres Burn During The 2025 California Wildfire Season?
26% chance
Was the SF dog walker arson a hoax?
47% chance