From the 2025 ACX Prediction Contest:
I will resolve based on the Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if, within calendar year 2025, at least one of the following happens:
Xi Jinping ceases to be the General Secretary of the Communist Party of China or the Communist Party of China ceases to be in control of China.
Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba or the Communist Party of Cuba ceases to be in control of Cuba.
Ali Hosseini Khamenei ceases to be the supreme leader of Iran.
Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea.
Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia.
Nicolás Maduro ceases to be President of Venezuela.
1,000The sweepstakes market for this question has been resolved to partial as we are shutting down sweepstakes. Please read the full announcement here. The mana market will continue as usual.
Only markets closing before March 3rd will be left open for trading and will be resolved as usual.
Users will be able to cashout or donate their entire sweepcash balance, regardless of whether it has been won in a sweepstakes or not, by March 28th (for amounts above our minimum threshold of $25).