Will Donald Trump/Joe Biden get 300 electoral votes in the 2024 election?
➕
Plus
27
Ṁ8520
Nov 7
98.6%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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Goes down additionally because Biden literally can't get 300 EVs

bought Ṁ100 NO

Considering Manifold has Trump at 55% right now, a 70% chance of 300+ EVs is ambitious

@StarkLN Literally everyone I know is writing in Joe Biden. Dark Brandon will defeat both Kamala and Trump, just you wait!

bought Ṁ10 NO

I think NO is undervalued here.

The 300+ combination for Biden that's most likely is holding every state he won. He can afford to drop one if he wins FL or NC, but I'm not hopeful on either of those states flipping. Similarly, the Trump best-case scenario is flipping back every state and then picking up NV, then maybe MN and NH.

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