What will the Party distribution of the next 2 US presidential terms be? (2029-2037) [> 6k Liquidity]
Plus
12
Ṁ80642033
26%
R-D
24%
D-R
23%
D-D
18%
R-R
3%
one or more Third Party terms
3%
1.1%
Resolves to NO following Trump Reelection
1.1%
Resolves to NO following Trump Reelection
1%
Resolves to NO following Trump Reelection
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@traders I updated this market to fit with election results. Since it’s impossible to resolve the Harris win contigent options to NO, I changed their name.
@mods sorry to ping but I can’t figure out how to resolve the false options to NO, while keeping the market open for the other options rhat are still possible.
If the presidential “term” system still exists yes.
So if it is like russia and putin wins three terms in a row and it is still referred to as terms then it would resolve R-R-R.
But if they somehow change the constitution so that you can be “king for life” or whetver and the terminology doesn’t use “presidential terms”, ie. presidency ceases to exist, and resolves to “other”
.
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