Will there be a noticeable effort to increase AI transparency by 2025?
Mini
6
Ṁ61Jan 1
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
@Joern "noticable" means the average person is probably aware of it, but Time magazine will not have an article on it yet
Related questions
Related questions
Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?
53% chance
Will there be another major public-facing breakthrough in AI before December 31, 2024 [subjective - 1000M boost added]
55% chance
Will a major AI company acknowledge the possibility of conscious AIs by 2026?
75% chance
Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035?
32% chance
AI honesty #3: by 2027 will we have interpretability tools for detecting when an AI is being deceptive?
62% chance
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
28% chance
Before 2028, will there be a major REFLECTIVELY self-improving AI policy*?
68% chance
Will a major AI company publish a “responsible scaling policy” for AI consciousness by 2030?
64% chance
Will OpenAI become notably less pro AI safety by start of 2025 than at the start of 2024?
62% chance
Will the US regulate AI development by end of 2025?
45% chance