Will the U.S. CHNV parole sponsorship program be operating at the end of 2024?
Basic
4
Ṁ222Jan 1
90%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Given the lawsuit against the United States' humanitarian parole immigrant sponsorship program for migrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela, courts may or may not block the program at any time. There may be multiple rulings and flip-flops, so I'm simply asking whether the program will be in operation at the end of 2024, accepting new immigrants. If the program is reduced but still operating, the market will resolve to "yes". If the program is no longer operating for any reason, whether related to the lawsuit or not, the market will resolve to "no".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will I be denied entry to the USA or Canada before the end of 2024?
21% chance
Will I get a permanent visa to stay in the US in 2024?
56% chance
Will the US reschedule cannabis by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Gypsy Rose Blanchard be found in violation of her parole by the end of 2024?
37% chance
When will the United States end Juvenile Life Without Parole (JLWOP) sentencing?
Will the co-op program between NEU Vancouver and Amazon get resumed before the end of 2024?
50% chance
If a human challenge trial for a hepatitis C vaccine is NOT completed by the end of 2024, will a hep C vaccine be approved by the end of 2027?
46% chance
Will I be subject to a non-compete at end of 2024?
Will the US approve a nasal COVID vaccine by the end of 2024?
17% chance
Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?
4% chance