Who will be major candidates in the 2028 Democratic primaries?
25
1.5kṀ14352028
81%
Gavin Newsom
77%
Josh Shapiro
76%
Pete Buttigieg
59%
Tim Walz
47%
Cory Booker
47%
Gretchen Whitmer
46%
JB Pritzker
43%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
41%
Andy Beshear
37%
Roy Cooper
37%
Raphael Warnock
28%
Amy Klobuchar
26%
Jon Ossoff
17%
Stephen A. Smith
9%
Kamala Harris
For the purposes of this market, a "major candidate" is defined as any candidate who, at any point during the race, had a polling average of at least 10%. In previous years, according to realclearpolling.com, the candidates who would have met this criteria were:
2024: Joe Biden, Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2020: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Mike Bloomberg, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg
2016: Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders
2012: [no data, presumably because Obama was virtually uncontested]
2008: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, John Edwards
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
2028 Democratic nominee?
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
Who will be running in the Democratic Primary for the 2028 presidential election?
Who will run for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Who will be in the first 2028 Democratic Party presidential debate?
Who will be the Democratic Party’s nominee for Vice-President in 2028?