Will "Deadpool & Wolverine" gross >$1 billion (worldwide) within a month of release?
Standard
35
Ṁ27k
resolved Aug 13
Resolved
YES

At market close (August 27th), I will check BoxOfficeMojo. This market resolves YES if the "WORLDWIDE" gross displayed is >$1 billion.

Details

  • Box office reporting has a delay, so I added +1 day to the close date to better capture the spirit of "within a month". [1]

  • All that matters for the purpose of resolution is what BoxOfficeMojo displays at market close.

  • Example: "Deadpool 2" currently lists a "WORLDWIDE" gross of $785,896,632.

  • For informal context, "Black Panther" crossed $1 billion in 26 days, while "Jurassic World" only needed 13 days (according to news outlets—this market only resolves based on BoxOfficeMojo).

[1]. I don't expect this to have any impact—the key delay is international gross (which roughly updates ~weekly), but the 26th is a Monday and BOM basically always updates its international estimates by EOD Monday (I pushed it to Tuesday just to be safe).

"DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE" DASHBOARD

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@traders Cruised past $1B after its 2nd weekend. Resolves YES. Bet on the WW gross for "Alien: Romulus" next:

/Ziddletwix/will-alien-romulus-gross-more-world

bought Ṁ250 YES

https://deadline.com/2024/07/deadpool-wolverine-global-international-box-office-1236023236/

Based on this estimate it seems likely now. (A better global opening than Black Panther for reference).