Resolves YES. if Sam Altman is CEO of OpenAI at 11:59PM PT December 31, 2025. If he leaves and returns before EOY this still resolves YES.
Update 2025-02-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Definition of OpenAI in the context of the market:
Simple renaming: A straightforward renaming of the organization will count as OpenAI.
Mild restructure with renaming: If the rebranding is accompanied by only a mild restructuring, it almost certainly counts as OpenAI.
Large restructure: If the organization undergoes a significant restructure that leads to substantial or widespread disagreement about what constitutes "OpenAI," this could cause the market to resolve as NO even if Sam Altman remains CEO.
1,000@Tyler31 I will be reasonably broad in what I define as "OpenAI", what matters is the spirit not the word. If it's a simple renaming, that absolutely counts. If it's a renaming + mild restructure, that almost certainly counts as well. If there's a large enough restructure that there would be substantial/widespread disagreement about what org is actually "OpenAI", then it would likely not count (i.e. it could resolve NO even if Sam Altman is CEO of that resulting company).