Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?

Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Will a prompt that enables GPT-4 to solve easy Sudoku puzzles be found? (2023)

Will China be competitive in the LLM race compared to OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google by end of 2024?

Will Sam Altman start a new company before 2025?

Why was Sam Altman fired?

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Will GPT-5 launch before 1 January 2025?