Will the USA have 20% or more of advanced logic chip production by 2032?
Standard
15
Ṁ49122033
47%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
See this thread and article: https://twitter.com/mackhawk/status/1789966139700781249. The projection is the USA will have 28% of the market by 2032. I'm giving it some margin of error.
This resolves YES if for any year between now and 2032, USA is over 20% of the advanced logic chip market, as those terms are typically understood at the time.
Resolves NO if this does not happen and we confirm it did not happen for 2032, or we are >99% that it won't happen by then.
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