By 2030, AI can autonomously prove mathematical theorems that are publishable in mathematics journals today?
Plus
25
Ṁ14992030
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
AI can autonomously prove mathematical theorems that are publishable in mathematics journals today
including generating the theorems to prove.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Can the AI use a proof assistant (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proof_assistant), or have it as part of its own code?
If not, then do you restrict the AI type to be only a LLM / solely made up of a neural network?
Related questions
Related questions
Will any AI be able to explain formal language proofs to >=50% of IMO problems by the start of 2025?
48% chance
Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?
32% chance
In 2029, will any AI be able to take an arbitrary proof in the mathematical literature and translate it into a form suitable for symbolic verification? (Gary Marcus benchmark #5)
82% chance
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
42% chance
Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
78% chance
Will an AI be able to convert recent mathematical results into a fully formal proofs that can be verified by a mainstream proof assistant by 2025?
5% chance
Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2035?
45% chance
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
49% chance
Will a published research paper be revealed to have been written by an AI before 2025?
75% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?
88% chance