
By 2030, will AI be able to produce a song that is indistinguishable from a new song by a particular artist?
11
210Ṁ922030
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
e.g. a song that experienced listeners can’t distinguish from a new song by Taylor Swift
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet?
64% chance
By 2030, will AI be able to produce a song that is indistinguishable from a new song by a particular artist?
POLL
Will an AI be able to repeatedly write rap songs that I think are good without human input in the lyrics before 2025?
84% chance
Will ≥1% of Spotify's streams in 2024 consist of AI-generated music?
14% chance
By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?
92% chance
Will an AI-generated song reach the Billboard Hot 100 song charts by the end of 2025?
20% chance
By the end of 2025 will general AIs like GPT-4o make better music than specialist AIs like Udio did in spring of 2024?
18% chance
🎵 By 2026, will any fully AI-generated song hit the Billboard Hot 100 or Spotify Top 50 for at least one week?
66% chance
Will any song on Billboard Hot 100 before 2026 be composed by AI?
50% chance
Will AI achieve superintelligence in music composition by 2026?
16% chance