Will GPT-5 win Bronze or better at IMO 2025?
Standard
33
Ṁ11k2025
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
GPT-5 with scaffolding or access to tools counts as long as GPT-5 is making real decisions.
Resolves No if GPT-5 doesn’t score Bronze or higher, or if it does not does not exist by then, or nobody makes an IMO attempt by the end of August 2025
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
24% chance
GPT-5 by 2025?
29% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?
9% chance
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
82% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
65% chance
Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?
23% chance
What years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?
Will GPT-5 qualify for the USAMO?
32% chance
Will GPT-5 be announced in 2024?
21% chance
Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
69% chance