![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FUCc8yp_QYw.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D160f15b2-3c79-47c2-a9e5-54f67c74c635&w=3840&q=75)
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by 2025?
Basic
257
Ṁ139k2026
52%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves based off the outcomes of two other markets:
If either of these resolve YES, this resolves YES. If both resolve NO, this resolves NO. If either of the linked markets resolves to something other than YES or NO, I will use my best judgement.
Apr 29, 9:01pm: Will AI get at least Bronze on the IMO by 2025? → Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by 2025?
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
limit order at 30% if someone wants to take it
bought Ṁ500 YES from 48% to 49%
Related questions
Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
50% chance
Will AI get at least bronze on the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by 2026?
38% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
37% chance
What years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2030?
62% chance
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
39% chance
Will AI first get IMO gold in 2026 or 2027?
23% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2027?
51% chance