MANIFOLD
Browse
News
About
App
Add funds
(Sale 64% off)
Sign up
Get
1,000
and
3.00
Dark
Light
(auto)
Sign in
Cabinet
TIME PotY
Bitcoin
What Will Trump Do?
Glicked 🏟️🧹
2028 Election
Israel
OpenAI
US Congress
AGI Timelines
Biden
Taylor Swift
Elon/Tesla
Sama Drama
AI Math
Fed Rates
Nvidia
Twitter
ACX 2024
One Piece
Music AI Race
Hard Forkasts
AI Math
Manifold AI
Google DeepMind
AI achieves silver-medal standard solving International Mathematical Olympiad problems
Breakthrough models AlphaProof and AlphaGeometry 2 solve advanced reasoning problems in mathematics
Austin
Crystal
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
69%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2625
Ṁ100k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
82%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
340
Ṁ1810
Sketchy
Plus
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
84%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
60
Ṁ1000
Jack
Plus
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
25%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
69
Ṁ1000
Jack
Plus
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
65%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
43
Ṁ1000
Forrest
Plus
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
85%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
194
Ṁ1230
Sketchy
Basic
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
79%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
21
Ṁ170
Ihor Kendiukhov
Premium
When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
2,027
Lower
Higher
60
Ṁ13k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2024?
3%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
58
Ṁ1000
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
69%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
25
Ṁ1000
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2026?
84%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
50
Ṁ1000
Gigacasting
Plus
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
79%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
146
Ṁ1750
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
88%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
45
Ṁ1000
Gigacasting
Plus
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
90%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
95
Ṁ1265
Gigacasting
Plus
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?
86%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
67
Ṁ1000
© Manifold Markets, Inc.
•
Terms
+
Mana-only Terms
•
Privacy
•
Rules
Browse
Election
News
About
Sign in