AI 2025

What will happen in AI in 2025?

100k

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?81% chance

10k

What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?

8%

0% - 35%

6%

35 - 40%

8%

40 - 45%

11%

45 - 50%

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15k

What will be the best AI performance on Humanity's Last Exam by December 31st 2025?

1%

0-10%

4%

10-20%

13%

20-30%

18%

30-40%

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1k

Top score on codeforces by an AI model at the end of 2025

1%

<2750 (OpenAI's o3 at 2727)

1.2%

2750-3000

3%

3000-3250

7%

3250-3500

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