AI 2025

What will happen in AI in 2025?

100k

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?84% chance

10k

What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?

2%

0% - 35%

2%

35 - 40%

4%

40 - 45%

6%

45 - 50%

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15k

What will be the best AI performance on Humanity's Last Exam by December 31st 2025?

1%

0-10%

4%

10-20%

11%

20-30%

19%

30-40%

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1k

Top score on codeforces by an AI model at the end of 2025

1.3%

<2750 (OpenAI's o3 at 2727)

2%

2750-3000

2%

3000-3250

5%

3250-3500

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