Korea Martial Law

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Will Korean president Yoon Suk Yeol be impeached before January 3rd 2025?85% chance
Basic
Will martial law in South Korea hold past the end of the week?NO
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Will South Korea be under martial law on January 1st 2025?NO
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Will Yoon Suk Yeol be arrested before 2026?79% chance
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How will South Korea be classified in the next edition of The Economist's Democracy Index?
59%
Full democracy
31%
Flawed democracy
6%
Hybrid regime
4%
Authoritarian regime
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Will a member of South Korea's parliament be arrested before martial law is lifted?4% chance
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Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on January 1, 2025?13% chance
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Will South Korea Be Under Martial Law in one month?11% chance
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Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on December 3, 2025?8% chance
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Martial law in South Korea lifted by December 10th, 2024?99% chance
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