Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
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45
Ṁ57772029
88%
chance
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Same as this market, but for AI that gets gold on an IMO from 2023 through 2028.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Some other markets in this sequence, in case this is unarbed:
/BoltonBailey/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat-2b53f4a252d8
/Austin/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat
/BoltonBailey/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat-960238cde8c2
/BoltonBailey/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat-7dc55f5046a3
@OlegEterevsky as a no bettor on these markets, that is also what I assume, and what seems fair to me.
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