![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252F8EJX18TtXk.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D3de794ce-28fd-4f5c-a5a6-532de30f0ee4&w=3840&q=75)
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
Basic
35
Ṁ2.9k2029
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Same as this market, but for AI that gets gold on an IMO from 2023 through 2028.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
Some other markets in this sequence, in case this is unarbed:
/BoltonBailey/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat-2b53f4a252d8
/Austin/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat
/BoltonBailey/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat-960238cde8c2
/BoltonBailey/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat-7dc55f5046a3
@OlegEterevsky as a no bettor on these markets, that is also what I assume, and what seems fair to me.
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
20% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
37% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
59% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2027?
51% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2026?
47% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?
70% chance
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
39% chance