Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
Plus
45
Ṁ57772029
88%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Same as this market, but for AI that gets gold on an IMO from 2023 through 2028.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Some other markets in this sequence, in case this is unarbed:
/BoltonBailey/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat-2b53f4a252d8
/Austin/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat
/BoltonBailey/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat-960238cde8c2
/BoltonBailey/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat-7dc55f5046a3
@OlegEterevsky as a no bettor on these markets, that is also what I assume, and what seems fair to me.
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
86% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?
12% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
87% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2024?
4% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2026?
84% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
85% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?
86% chance
Will the "AI get gold on any IMO by the end of 2025" market resolve YES before the 2025 IMO?
32% chance
When will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize?
Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
78% chance