Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032? | Manifold

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?

70

1kṀ56k

2032

91%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

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predictedYES

https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphageometry-an-olympiad-level-ai-system-for-geometry/

this is way too high

predictedNO

just checking: it is intentional that this is until the start of 2032, while all other IMO markets are until the end of the year they mention?

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Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

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Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

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Will AI get at least bronze on the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) before 2026?

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