Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?
Basic
30
892
2030
59%
chance

China is assessed to have 500 nuclear warheads as of Jan 2024. The United States Department of Defense believes China "will probably have over 1,000 operational nuclear warheads by 2030."

Will China's stockpile of operational nuclear warheads be 1,000 or more before 2030, according to credible sources?

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