Will Republicans rate the economy positively on inauguration day 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ120
Jan 22
30%
chance

This question resolves according to polling published by Civiqs on their recurring question, filtered for Republican responses: "How would you rate the condition of the national economy right now?"

Civiqs polling has historically shown a strong relationship between partisan affiliation and rating of the economy. For example, here is a New York Times graphic of Civiqs polling:

If polled Republicans' ratings of the economy according to Civiqs are net positive (i.e. 1% or higher) on inauguration day (20 Jan 2025) this question resolves YES, otherwise this question resolves NO on 21 Jan 2025.

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