Will the Republicans have a majority in the House of Representatives at midnight, December 31st, 2024?
Plus
13
Ṁ2578Jan 1
96%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
Note that this will be before the 118th congress is sworn in, so the general election is irrelevant to how this is resolved.
If the Republicans lose the majority during 2024 but then regain it, this question still could resolve yes. There is no path to an early resolution for this question. Tied numbers on the membership lists resolves "no".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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