Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2025?
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12
Ṁ2755
2026
39%
chance

This question resolves YES if the University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment is less than 90 points in every month from July 2024 to December 2025.

Consumer sentiment was regularly above 90 points from December 2014 until February 2020. The most recent figure for May was 69.1 points.

Will consumer sentiment remain below pre-pandemic levels every month until the end of 2025?

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