Will we see any commercial solar cells with an efficiency >30% by the end of 2024?
Basic
8
Ṁ245Dec 31
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will we see any commercial solar cells with an efficiency >30% by the end of 2024? Tandem and perovskite photovoltaics seem to be the most likely candidates.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the solar cell world efficiency record be beaten by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will the global consumption of renewable energy increase by at least 10% in 2024?
58% chance
Will US installed grid battery capacity exceed 31.1 GW by the end of 2024?
45% chance
Will a new solar cell technology with at least 30% efficiency be commercially available before the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will the U.S. get 5% of its energy from solar before 2025?
16% chance
Will a new solid-state battery with an energy density exceeding 400 Wh/kg be commercially released by the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will at least 80 percent of solar modules deployed in the US in 2026 be manufactured in the US?
24% chance
Will solar PV become the largest source of power by 2028?
25% chance
Will solar become the primary source of electricity in the US before 2040?
73% chance
Will a new form of clean energy surpass solar in efficiency by 2030?
15% chance