Will Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?
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This market will resolve YES if and when the English Wikipedia's page on the 2023 Israel–Hamas war (or the nearest equivalent if that page no longer exists) lists in its infobox "Result: Israeli victory" (or equivalent), and I am satisfied that this is not part of an edit war.

It will also resolve YES if the result describes the victor as some coalition of which Israel is a part, or describes the outcome in terms of the defeated side being Hamas or some coalition of which Hamas is a part.

Any other "result" after the war is no longer described by Wikipedia as "ongoing" will cause the market to resolve NO, including hedged statements like "Partial Israeli victory" or "Israeli victory with territorial losses".

Note specifically that if there is a frozen conflict that causes Wikipedia to update the infobox from "ongoing" to "inconclusive" or similar, this would be a NO resolution.

Resolution only depends on the first, non-dotpoint statement in the "result" section of the infobox. If hedging/concessions follow the intitial statement as dotpoints, or if they appear in the body of the article, this is not relevant to resolution. If the "result" comprises only dotpoints, the market will resolve NO.

The closing date for this market will be extended as needed until the market can resolve.

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bought Ṁ90 NO

Israel is simply not prepared to deploy the hundreds of thousands of troops it would need to permanently occupy Gaza, much less manage food, water, infrastructure, utilities, ect. for the 2+ million Gazans. They're just going to keep to their narrow corridors and lob bombs at the rest of the strip, maybe with an occasional raid or two. When the war ends, either through settling into a status-quo frozen conflict or through an Israeli withdrawal, it definitely won't be counted as an Israeli victory. Probably a wall of text or "inconclusive" on wikipedia.

I think if Hamas ceases to be the governing power in Gaza, at least nominally, that counts as an Israeli victory.

How is that going to happen? Israel just said they're ending the "intensive" phase of the war and returning to "mowing the lawn"-- meaning low-level bombing and raids. How is that going to displace Hamas as a governing authority? That's not the point of mowing the lawn!

As the last Gaza war described in Wikipedia as "Victory claimed by both sides", even after kills ratio of 10k to 100 people.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Gaza_War

@yard nitpick, 2300 fatalities there

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