How many people would be debating in the US presidential debates?
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Ṁ6191
Oct 8
3
expected

By debating I mean being present as an official participant in any of the 2024 US presidential debates.

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In total, or at any of the debates?

Assuming Harris and Trump debate in future (RFK doesn't), does that give us an answer of two or three?

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The description says "any".

Which would suggest 2, 2, 2, 2 = 2. (Assuming noone joins the planned debates)

Vs

'In total' Biden, Trump, Harris = 3

@de27 Could you clarify?

If you put it that way I meant it in the sense of total .

You've somehow created a market where the third most predicted outcome (1 participant) is also the most impossible outcome, and yet I suspect this absurdity will remain true until market resolution.

If no debate happens for some reason, then N/A? Or does this resolve to 0?

@Quroe Logically there would be zero people debating if there is no debate. So second option.