Gukesh vs. Ding - 2024 World Chess Championship prop bets

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Ṁ4672

Dec 14

21%

Gukesh reaches 2800 in live rating

69%

Ding finishes with fewer rating points than he started with (2728)

20%

Exactly 11 games are needed to decide the match

55%

A position reached after 10 moves is exactly similar to a position in two previous world championships

19%

The Queens Gambit Accepted is played at least once

74%

One players odds of winning reach at least 90% on Polymarket up to 6 hours after game 7

27%

Ding's odds of winning the match reach 40% on Polymarket at any point

62%

The match decisive i.e winner gets at least +3

83%

A tablebase position is reached

57%

Winners TPR is >2820

10%

Either player forfeits the match before it's decided

28%

There is a series of three consecutive decisive games

51%

Opposite-side castling happens in at least 2 games

40%

No occurrences of the Berlin defence (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Bb5 Nf6)

67%

1.e4 is the most commonly played first move

69%

Zero occurrences of the Sicilian defence (1.e4 c5)

26%

Both players win multiple games

36%

All wins in the match are with the white colors

33%

At least 11 draws in the match

74%

A game lasts more than 60 moves

Add your props. Please be as clear and concise as possible to avoid confusion.

Polymarket market referenced - https://polymarket.com/event/world-chess-championship-2024-winner?tid=1731990671056

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Gukesh reaches 2800 in live rating

What's the difference between this one and "Gukesh will reach 2800 in live rating"?

@Calibrate None, I though when was adding it for the first time that it did not go through, so I added it again.

@Weezing N/A'ed one of the duplicates

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