If Eliezer Yudkowsky dies, will he die of "old age"-related causes?
Basic
6
Ṁ3022100
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
63% chance
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
59% chance
Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030
51% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
19% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?
31% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get killed by an AI?
19% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be employed at one of the top AI labs in 2023 or 2024?
3% chance
Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?
15% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Conditional on it all working out, in what year will Eliezer Yudkowsky be revived from cryo-preservation?