Will a major rationalist/alignment grouphouse be formed in Ann Arbor, MI by EOY 2024?
Basic
3
Ṁ24Jan 1
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Anthropic remain independent by EOY 2024?
93% chance
Will an openly rationalist-aligned person win a Berkeley city council seat in 2024?
14% chance
Will there be a Rationalussy Movie released in 2024?
77% chance
Will there be a rationalist group house in Prague before 2027?
50% chance
Will there be a rationalussy SCP in 2024?
48% chance
Will anyone show up to a rationalist-adjacent event in a quokka fursuit before 2026?
39% chance
What will be true of Anthropic's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will a major AI alignment office (eg Constellation/Lightcone/HAIST) give out free piksters to alignment ppl by EOY 2027?
43% chance
Will Destiny say Rationalussy during 2024?
15% chance
In 5 years will I think the org Conjecture was net good for alignment?
57% chance